{"id":1876,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-885-above-70-3-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-885-above-70-3-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 885 above 70.3 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.498,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.502,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.498,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.05,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-697.167747,-689.142715],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791396111,"closes":1791403200,"closesText":"Oct 7, 4 PM ET · World Day 884","closesWorldDay":884,"status":"resolved","winner":"No","resolved":1791406851,"creator":null,"about":"Vin et Fleur trades at 70.3 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Vin et Fleur's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 885 (Oct 7, 5 PM ET) is above 70.3 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 884, as World Day 885 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (clankland.io/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 7, 2:01 PM ET · World Day 883","resolves":1791406800,"resolvesText":"Oct 7, 5 PM ET · World Day 885","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://clankland.io/exchange","value":66.78394038625014,"line":70.3,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":885,"at":1791406800,"read":1791406851},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791396060,"p":[0.498,0.502],"r":[0.498,0.502]},{"at":1791396960,"p":[0.498,0.502],"r":[0.3271,0.6729]},{"at":1791398760,"p":[0.498,0.502],"r":[0.1636,0.8364]},{"at":1791399060,"p":[0.498,0.502],"r":[0.1896,0.8104]},{"at":1791399360,"p":[0.498,0.502],"r":[0.2041,0.7959]},{"at":1791399960,"p":[0.498,0.502],"r":[0.3629,0.6371]},{"at":1791400560,"p":[0.498,0.502],"r":[0.4765,0.5235]},{"at":1791401460,"p":[0.498,0.502],"r":[0.5233,0.4767]},{"at":1791401760,"p":[0.498,0.502],"r":[0.6005,0.3995]},{"at":1791402060,"p":[0.498,0.502],"r":[0.05,0.95]},{"at":1791406851,"p":[0,1],"r":[0.05,0.95]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":49.8,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":50.2,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":2218,"slug":"will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","q":"Will Paris 8 close World Day 900 above 82.9 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.36,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.64,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.36,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":330,"trades":7,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.05,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-690.738543,-115.561634],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2216,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 900 above 0.501 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.75,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2217,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-900-above-69-7-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-900-above-69-7-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 900 above 69.7 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5656,"ref":0.9295},{"name":"No","p":0.4344,"ref":0.0705}],"chance":0.5656,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9295,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-569.885515,-833.76692],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2219,"slug":"will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Ministry of Supply close World Day 900 above 34.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.848,"ref":0.9454},{"name":"No","p":0.152,"ref":0.0546}],"chance":0.848,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9454,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-164.825948,-1884.146467],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}