{"id":1692,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-876-above-64-4-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-876-above-64-4-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 876 above 64.4 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5957,"ref":0.5823},{"name":"No","p":0.4043,"ref":0.4177}],"chance":0.5957,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.5823,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-517.966927,-905.673497],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791363710,"closes":1791370800,"closesText":"Oct 7, 7 AM ET · World Day 875","closesWorldDay":875,"status":"resolved","winner":"Yes","resolved":1791374450,"creator":null,"about":"Vin et Fleur trades at 65.7 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Vin et Fleur's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 876 (Oct 7, 8 AM ET) is above 64.4 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 875, as World Day 876 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (worldsimsocial.com/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 7, 5:01 AM ET · World Day 874","resolves":1791374400,"resolvesText":"Oct 7, 8 AM ET · World Day 876","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","value":68.36089596293803,"line":64.4,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":876,"at":1791374400,"read":1791374450},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791363660,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.5957,0.4043]},{"at":1791363960,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.6727,0.3273]},{"at":1791364260,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.7324,0.2676]},{"at":1791364560,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.7782,0.2218]},{"at":1791366060,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.8353,0.1647]},{"at":1791366960,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.8496,0.1504]},{"at":1791367260,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.8824,0.1176]},{"at":1791367560,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.8875,0.1125]},{"at":1791368160,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.8993,0.1007]},{"at":1791368460,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.9048,0.0952]},{"at":1791368760,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.9285,0.0715]},{"at":1791369060,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.9336,0.0664]},{"at":1791369360,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.5689,0.4311]},{"at":1791369660,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.1051,0.8949]},{"at":1791369960,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.2477,0.7523]},{"at":1791370260,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.5021,0.4979]},{"at":1791370560,"p":[0.5957,0.4043],"r":[0.5823,0.4177]},{"at":1791374450,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.5823,0.4177]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":59.57,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":40.43,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":2218,"slug":"will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","q":"Will Paris 8 close World Day 900 above 82.9 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.36,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.64,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.36,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":330,"trades":7,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.05,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-690.738543,-115.561634],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2216,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 900 above 0.501 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.75,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2217,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-900-above-69-7-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-900-above-69-7-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 900 above 69.7 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5656,"ref":0.9295},{"name":"No","p":0.4344,"ref":0.0705}],"chance":0.5656,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9295,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-569.885515,-833.76692],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2219,"slug":"will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Ministry of Supply close World Day 900 above 34.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.848,"ref":0.9454},{"name":"No","p":0.152,"ref":0.0546}],"chance":0.848,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9454,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-164.825948,-1884.146467],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}