{"id":1090,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-857-above-68-4-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-857-above-68-4-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 857 above 68.4 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.563,"ref":0.8766},{"name":"No","p":0.437,"ref":0.1234}],"chance":0.563,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.8766,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-574.550925,-827.725115],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791295302,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"resolved","winner":"Yes","resolved":1791306042,"creator":null,"about":"Vin et Fleur trades at 69.8 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Vin et Fleur's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 857 (Oct 6, 1 PM ET) is above 68.4 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 856, as World Day 857 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (worldsimsocial.com/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 10:01 AM ET · World Day 855","resolves":1791306000,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 1 PM ET · World Day 857","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","value":75.46562847483742,"line":68.4,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":857,"at":1791306000,"read":1791306042},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791295260,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.563,0.437]},{"at":1791296460,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.2147,0.7853]},{"at":1791296760,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.1117,0.8883]},{"at":1791297060,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.2239,0.7761]},{"at":1791297360,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.4374,0.5626]},{"at":1791297660,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.5246,0.4754]},{"at":1791297960,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.6093,0.3907]},{"at":1791298260,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.66,0.34]},{"at":1791298860,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.7563,0.2437]},{"at":1791299160,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.7758,0.2242]},{"at":1791299460,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.781,0.219]},{"at":1791299760,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.7874,0.2126]},{"at":1791300060,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.7934,0.2066]},{"at":1791300360,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.8072,0.1928]},{"at":1791300660,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.8139,0.1861]},{"at":1791300960,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.8208,0.1792]},{"at":1791301260,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.8279,0.1721]},{"at":1791301560,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.8348,0.1652]},{"at":1791301860,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.8499,0.1501]},{"at":1791302160,"p":[0.563,0.437],"r":[0.8766,0.1234]},{"at":1791306042,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.8766,0.1234]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":56.3,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":43.7,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":2218,"slug":"will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","q":"Will Paris 8 close World Day 900 above 82.9 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.36,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.64,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.36,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":330,"trades":7,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.05,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-690.738543,-115.561634],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2216,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 900 above 0.501 gold a 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share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5656,"ref":0.9295},{"name":"No","p":0.4344,"ref":0.0705}],"chance":0.5656,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9295,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-569.885515,-833.76692],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2219,"slug":"will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Ministry of Supply close World Day 900 above 34.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.848,"ref":0.9454},{"name":"No","p":0.152,"ref":0.0546}],"chance":0.848,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9454,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-164.825948,-1884.146467],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}