{"id":839,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-851-above-67-3-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-851-above-67-3-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 851 above 67.3 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4332,"ref":0.6871},{"name":"No","p":0.5668,"ref":0.3129}],"chance":0.4332,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.6871,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-836.503241,-567.788916],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791273701,"closes":1791280800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 6 AM ET · World Day 850","closesWorldDay":850,"status":"resolved","winner":"Yes","resolved":1791284441,"creator":null,"about":"Vin et Fleur trades at 66.0 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Vin et Fleur's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 851 (Oct 6, 7 AM ET) is above 67.3 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 850, as World Day 851 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (worldsimsocial.com/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 4:01 AM ET · World Day 849","resolves":1791284400,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 7 AM ET · World Day 851","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","value":71.56445269299125,"line":67.3,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":851,"at":1791284400,"read":1791284441},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791273660,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.4332,0.5668]},{"at":1791273960,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.4607,0.5393]},{"at":1791274260,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.6055,0.3945]},{"at":1791274860,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.6598,0.3402]},{"at":1791275160,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.7225,0.2775]},{"at":1791275460,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.73,0.27]},{"at":1791276360,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.6282,0.3718]},{"at":1791276960,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.687,0.313]},{"at":1791277260,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.4161,0.5839]},{"at":1791277860,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.4425,0.5575]},{"at":1791278160,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.308,0.692]},{"at":1791278760,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.3114,0.6886]},{"at":1791279060,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.3911,0.6089]},{"at":1791279360,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.6473,0.3527]},{"at":1791279660,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.6713,0.3287]},{"at":1791280260,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.6814,0.3186]},{"at":1791280560,"p":[0.4332,0.5668],"r":[0.6871,0.3129]},{"at":1791284441,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.6871,0.3129]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":43.32,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":56.68,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":2218,"slug":"will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","q":"Will Paris 8 close World Day 900 above 82.9 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.36,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.64,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.36,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":330,"trades":7,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.05,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-690.738543,-115.561634],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2216,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 900 above 0.501 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.75,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2217,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-900-above-69-7-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-900-above-69-7-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 900 above 69.7 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5656,"ref":0.9295},{"name":"No","p":0.4344,"ref":0.0705}],"chance":0.5656,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9295,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-569.885515,-833.76692],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2219,"slug":"will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Ministry of Supply close World Day 900 above 34.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.848,"ref":0.9454},{"name":"No","p":0.152,"ref":0.0546}],"chance":0.848,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9454,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-164.825948,-1884.146467],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}