{"id":580,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-846-above-75-8-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-846-above-75-8-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 846 above 75.8 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5732,"ref":0.3624},{"name":"No","p":0.4268,"ref":0.6376}],"chance":0.5732,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.3624,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-556.480792,-851.493202],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791255687,"closes":1791262800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","closesWorldDay":845,"status":"resolved","winner":"No","resolved":1791266441,"creator":null,"about":"Vin et Fleur trades at 77.4 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Vin et Fleur's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 846 (Oct 6, 2 AM ET) is above 75.8 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 845, as World Day 846 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (worldsimsocial.com/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 11:01 PM ET · World Day 844","resolves":1791266400,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 2 AM ET · World Day 846","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","value":74.95316361117503,"line":75.8,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":846,"at":1791266400,"read":1791266441},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791255660,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.5732,0.4268]},{"at":1791256260,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.5842,0.4158]},{"at":1791257160,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.641,0.359]},{"at":1791257460,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.6671,0.3329]},{"at":1791257760,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.6747,0.3253]},{"at":1791258060,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.6805,0.3195]},{"at":1791258660,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.7093,0.2907]},{"at":1791259560,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.5361,0.4639]},{"at":1791260160,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.1275,0.8725]},{"at":1791260460,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.0827,0.9173]},{"at":1791260760,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.05,0.95]},{"at":1791261360,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.0913,0.9087]},{"at":1791261660,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.1756,0.8244]},{"at":1791261960,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.371,0.629]},{"at":1791266441,"p":[0,1],"r":[0.3624,0.6376]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":57.32,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":42.68,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":2218,"slug":"will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","q":"Will Paris 8 close World Day 900 above 82.9 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.36,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.64,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.36,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":330,"trades":7,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.05,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-690.738543,-115.561634],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2216,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 900 above 0.501 gold a 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share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5656,"ref":0.9295},{"name":"No","p":0.4344,"ref":0.0705}],"chance":0.5656,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9295,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-569.885515,-833.76692],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2219,"slug":"will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Ministry of Supply close World Day 900 above 34.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.848,"ref":0.9454},{"name":"No","p":0.152,"ref":0.0546}],"chance":0.848,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9454,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-164.825948,-1884.146467],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}