{"id":461,"slug":"will-the-uk-be-the-best-performing-country-by-gdp-growth-in-europe-in-2028","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-the-uk-be-the-best-performing-country-by-gdp-growth-in-europe-in-2028","q":"Will the UK be the best performing country by GDP growth in Europe in 2028","cat":"economy","catName":"Economy","emoji":"💵","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0567,"ref":0.0567},{"name":"No","p":0.9433,"ref":0.9433}],"chance":0.0567,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"mani","source":"Manifold","sourceUrl":"https://manifold.markets/camelwrangler/will-the-uk-be-the-best-performing","ref":0.0567,"refSrc":"Manifold","b":1341,"state":[-3849.543003,-78.221413],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791243205,"closes":1861545540,"closesText":"Dec 27, 10:59 AM ET · World Day 20,368","closesWorldDay":20368,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"By the end of the year 2028 (31/12/28) the UK's GDP percentage growth, in that year, will be the highest in all of europe according to statista.com\n\nThis mirrors a Manifold market: it resolves the way that market resolves.","resolutionSource":"Manifold's resolution (by its creator, with Manifold's moderators as backstop). N/A or canceled there means everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 7:33 PM ET · World Day 840","resolves":1861804740,"resolvesText":"Dec 30, 10:59 AM ET · World Day 20,440","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791243180,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791256860,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791267660,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791278460,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791289260,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791300060,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791310860,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791321660,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791332460,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791343260,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791354060,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791364860,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791375660,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791386460,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791397260,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791408060,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791418860,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791429720,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791440520,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791451320,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]},{"at":1791461133,"p":[0.0567,0.9433],"r":[0.0567,0.9433]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":5.67,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":6,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":6,"shares":82,"people":0,"house":82,"total":4.92},{"price":7,"shares":221,"people":0,"house":221,"total":20.39},{"price":8,"shares":193,"people":0,"house":193,"total":35.83},{"price":9,"shares":173,"people":0,"house":173,"total":51.4},{"price":10,"shares":156,"people":0,"house":156,"total":67},{"price":11,"shares":143,"people":0,"house":143,"total":82.73}],"bids":[{"price":5,"shares":177,"people":0,"house":177,"total":8.85},{"price":4,"shares":313,"people":0,"house":313,"total":21.37},{"price":3,"shares":400,"people":0,"house":400,"total":33.37},{"price":2,"shares":558,"people":0,"house":558,"total":44.53},{"price":1,"shares":943,"people":0,"house":943,"total":53.96}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":94.33,"bestBid":94,"bestAsk":95,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":95,"shares":177,"people":0,"house":177,"total":168.15},{"price":96,"shares":313,"people":0,"house":313,"total":468.63},{"price":97,"shares":400,"people":0,"house":400,"total":856.63},{"price":98,"shares":558,"people":0,"house":558,"total":1403.47},{"price":99,"shares":943,"people":0,"house":943,"total":2337.04}],"bids":[{"price":94,"shares":82,"people":0,"house":82,"total":77.08},{"price":93,"shares":221,"people":0,"house":221,"total":282.61},{"price":92,"shares":193,"people":0,"house":193,"total":460.17},{"price":91,"shares":173,"people":0,"house":173,"total":617.6},{"price":90,"shares":156,"people":0,"house":156,"total":758},{"price":89,"shares":143,"people":0,"house":143,"total":885.27}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":160,"slug":"xi-jinping-out-before-2027","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/xi-jinping-out-before-2027","q":"Xi Jinping out before 2027?","cat":"economy","catName":"Economy","emoji":"💵","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1125,"ref":0.0265},{"name":"No","p":0.8875,"ref":0.9735}],"chance":0.1125,"change24":0.0023,"change7d":null,"vol":5245,"trades":221,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/xi-jinping-out-before-2027","ref":0.0265,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":5738,"state":[-8532.713442,3317.668228],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791233005,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1821,"slug":"will-wti-crude-oil-wti-hit-low-65-in-october","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-wti-crude-oil-wti-hit-low-65-in-october","q":"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?","cat":"economy","catName":"Economy","emoji":"💵","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.2008,"ref":0.024},{"name":"No","p":0.7992,"ref":0.976}],"chance":0.2008,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":4332,"trades":85,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-october-2026/will-wti-dip-to-65-in-october-2026","ref":0.024,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":2235,"state":[476.816572,3563.706352],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791390651,"closes":1793505599,"closesText":"Oct 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 1,468","closesWorldDay":1468,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":24,"slug":"bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-october-31","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-october-31","q":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?","cat":"economy","catName":"Economy","emoji":"💵","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1337,"ref":0.055},{"name":"No","p":0.8663,"ref":0.945}],"chance":0.1337,"change24":-0.0042,"change7d":null,"vol":8484,"trades":251,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by","ref":0.055,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":4032,"state":[-288.501882,7245.908343],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231685,"closes":1793505540,"closesText":"Oct 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 1,468","closesWorldDay":1468,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1105,"slug":"bank-of-england-decision-in-november","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/bank-of-england-decision-in-november","q":"Bank of England decision in November?","cat":"economy","catName":"Economy","emoji":"💵","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"25 bps increase","p":0.8373,"ref":0.9234},{"name":"No change","p":0.1592,"ref":0.0706},{"name":"50+ bps increase","p":0.0021,"ref":0.005},{"name":"Other","p":0.0014,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8373,"change24":0.0022,"change7d":null,"vol":3409,"trades":93,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-england-decision-in-november-20260730150602252","ref":0.9234,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":3201,"state":[2777.140616,-2537.465851,-16360.257441,-17658.151252],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791296142,"closes":1793923140,"closesText":"Nov 5, 6:59 PM ET · World Day 1,584","closesWorldDay":1584,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":57,"slug":"will-crude-oil-reach-a-new-all-time-high-by-december-31","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-crude-oil-reach-a-new-all-time-high-by-december-31","q":"Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?","cat":"economy","catName":"Economy","emoji":"💵","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1748,"ref":0.095},{"name":"No","p":0.8252,"ref":0.905}],"chance":0.1748,"change24":-0.0001,"change7d":null,"vol":6283,"trades":187,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/crude-oil-all-time-high-by","ref":0.095,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":4327,"state":[-1679.231782,5035.077409],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1374,"slug":"will-gold-gc-hit-high-6-000-by-end-of-december","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-gold-gc-hit-high-6-000-by-end-of-december","q":"Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?","cat":"economy","catName":"Economy","emoji":"💵","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1498,"ref":0.065},{"name":"No","p":0.8502,"ref":0.935}],"chance":0.1498,"change24":0.0249,"change7d":null,"vol":2435,"trades":83,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-gold-gc-hit-by-end-of-december","ref":0.065,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":4144,"state":[-5748.973593,1445.267049],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791324642,"closes":1798675200,"closesText":"Dec 30, 7 PM ET · World Day 2,904","closesWorldDay":2904,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}