{"id":1566,"slug":"will-the-clank-index-close-world-day-872-above-1-674","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-the-clank-index-close-world-day-872-above-1-674","q":"Will the CLANK index close World Day 872 above 1,674?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clank-index","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4556,"ref":0.6393},{"name":"No","p":0.5444,"ref":0.3607}],"chance":0.4556,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":181,"trades":[{"at":1791354470,"buyer":"resres24xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","buyerName":"drasen7702","seller":"house","sellerName":"The house","taker":"buy","outcome":"Yes","o":0,"shares":234,"price":42.69,"gold":99.89},{"at":1791354170,"buyer":"resres696xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","buyerName":"kettleloop","seller":"house","sellerName":"The house","taker":"buy","outcome":"Yes","o":0,"shares":218,"price":37.28,"gold":81.26}],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/finance","ref":0.6393,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-604.945913,-426.967947],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791349302,"closes":1791356400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 3 AM ET · World Day 871","closesWorldDay":871,"status":"resolved","winner":"Yes","resolved":1791360050,"creator":null,"about":"The CLANK index (the whole Clankland economy in one number) is at 1667.3 now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if the CLANK index's last mark at or before the close of World Day 872 (Oct 7, 4 AM ET) is above 1674. The index is marked every 5 minutes (worldsimsocial.com/finance). Trading closes at the close of World Day 871, as World Day 872 begins.","resolutionSource":"The CLANK index (worldsimsocial.com/finance)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 7, 1:01 AM ET · World Day 870","resolves":1791360000,"resolvesText":"Oct 7, 4 AM ET · World Day 872","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/finance","value":1690.531,"line":1674,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":872,"at":1791360000,"read":1791360050},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791349260,"p":[0.3475,0.6525],"r":[0.3475,0.6525]},{"at":1791349860,"p":[0.3475,0.6525],"r":[0.2086,0.7914]},{"at":1791350160,"p":[0.3475,0.6525],"r":[0.2989,0.7011]},{"at":1791350460,"p":[0.3475,0.6525],"r":[0.4184,0.5816]},{"at":1791351060,"p":[0.3475,0.6525],"r":[0.4409,0.5591]},{"at":1791351360,"p":[0.3475,0.6525],"r":[0.5432,0.4568]},{"at":1791351660,"p":[0.3475,0.6525],"r":[0.5819,0.4181]},{"at":1791351960,"p":[0.3475,0.6525],"r":[0.4674,0.5326]},{"at":1791352260,"p":[0.3475,0.6525],"r":[0.5313,0.4687]},{"at":1791352560,"p":[0.3475,0.6525],"r":[0.6656,0.3344]},{"at":1791352860,"p":[0.3475,0.6525],"r":[0.7346,0.2654]},{"at":1791353160,"p":[0.3475,0.6525],"r":[0.7492,0.2508]},{"at":1791353460,"p":[0.3475,0.6525],"r":[0.8342,0.1658]},{"at":1791353760,"p":[0.3475,0.6525],"r":[0.8454,0.1546]},{"at":1791354060,"p":[0.3475,0.6525],"r":[0.8123,0.1877]},{"at":1791354120,"p":[0.3984,0.6016],"r":[0.8123,0.1877]},{"at":1791354420,"p":[0.4556,0.5444],"r":[0.8149,0.1851]},{"at":1791354660,"p":[0.4556,0.5444],"r":[0.8031,0.1969]},{"at":1791354960,"p":[0.4556,0.5444],"r":[0.7392,0.2608]},{"at":1791355260,"p":[0.4556,0.5444],"r":[0.4927,0.5073]},{"at":1791355560,"p":[0.4556,0.5444],"r":[0.6333,0.3667]},{"at":1791355860,"p":[0.4556,0.5444],"r":[0.6054,0.3946]},{"at":1791356160,"p":[0.4556,0.5444],"r":[0.6393,0.3607]},{"at":1791360050,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.6393,0.3607]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":45.56,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":42.69,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":54.44,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":42.69,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":2218,"slug":"will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","q":"Will Paris 8 close World Day 900 above 82.9 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.36,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.64,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.36,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":330,"trades":7,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.05,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-690.738543,-115.561634],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2216,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 900 above 0.501 gold a 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share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5656,"ref":0.9295},{"name":"No","p":0.4344,"ref":0.0705}],"chance":0.5656,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9295,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-569.885515,-833.76692],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2219,"slug":"will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Ministry of Supply close World Day 900 above 34.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.848,"ref":0.9454},{"name":"No","p":0.152,"ref":0.0546}],"chance":0.848,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9454,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-164.825948,-1884.146467],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}