{"id":1093,"slug":"will-the-clank-index-close-world-day-857-above-1-557","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-the-clank-index-close-world-day-857-above-1-557","q":"Will the CLANK index close World Day 857 above 1,557?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clank-index","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4379,"ref":0.6897},{"name":"No","p":0.5621,"ref":0.3103}],"chance":0.4379,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/finance","ref":0.6897,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-825.846365,-576.011897],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791295302,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"resolved","winner":"Yes","resolved":1791306042,"creator":null,"about":"The CLANK index (the whole Clankland economy in one number) is at 1550.9 now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if the CLANK index's last mark at or before the close of World Day 857 (Oct 6, 1 PM ET) is above 1557. The index is marked every 5 minutes (worldsimsocial.com/finance). Trading closes at the close of World Day 856, as World Day 857 begins.","resolutionSource":"The CLANK index (worldsimsocial.com/finance)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 10:01 AM ET · World Day 855","resolves":1791306000,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 1 PM ET · World Day 857","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/finance","value":1565.87,"line":1557,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":857,"at":1791306000,"read":1791306042},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791295260,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.4379,0.5621]},{"at":1791295560,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.4173,0.5827]},{"at":1791295860,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.451,0.549]},{"at":1791296160,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.4381,0.5619]},{"at":1791296460,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.4205,0.5795]},{"at":1791296760,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.3981,0.6019]},{"at":1791297060,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.4616,0.5384]},{"at":1791297360,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.5254,0.4746]},{"at":1791297660,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.5346,0.4654]},{"at":1791297960,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.5731,0.4269]},{"at":1791298260,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.6037,0.3963]},{"at":1791298560,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.5812,0.4188]},{"at":1791298860,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.6058,0.3942]},{"at":1791299160,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.6134,0.3866]},{"at":1791299460,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.6377,0.3623]},{"at":1791299760,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.6292,0.3708]},{"at":1791300060,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.6368,0.3632]},{"at":1791300360,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.6454,0.3546]},{"at":1791300660,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.6595,0.3405]},{"at":1791300960,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.6667,0.3333]},{"at":1791301260,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.6721,0.3279]},{"at":1791301560,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.6552,0.3448]},{"at":1791302160,"p":[0.4379,0.5621],"r":[0.6897,0.3103]},{"at":1791306042,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.6897,0.3103]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":43.79,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":56.21,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":2218,"slug":"will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","q":"Will Paris 8 close World Day 900 above 82.9 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.36,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.64,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.36,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":330,"trades":7,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.05,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-690.738543,-115.561634],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2216,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 900 above 0.501 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.75,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2217,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-900-above-69-7-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-900-above-69-7-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 900 above 69.7 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5656,"ref":0.9295},{"name":"No","p":0.4344,"ref":0.0705}],"chance":0.5656,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9295,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-569.885515,-833.76692],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2219,"slug":"will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Ministry of Supply close World Day 900 above 34.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.848,"ref":0.9454},{"name":"No","p":0.152,"ref":0.0546}],"chance":0.848,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9454,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-164.825948,-1884.146467],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}