{"id":842,"slug":"will-the-clank-index-close-world-day-851-above-1-516","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-the-clank-index-close-world-day-851-above-1-516","q":"Will the CLANK index close World Day 851 above 1,516?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clank-index","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4409,"ref":0.7308},{"name":"No","p":0.5591,"ref":0.2692}],"chance":0.4409,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/finance","ref":0.7308,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-819.00319,-581.374885],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791273701,"closes":1791280800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 6 AM ET · World Day 850","closesWorldDay":850,"status":"resolved","winner":"Yes","resolved":1791284441,"creator":null,"about":"The CLANK index (the whole Clankland economy in one number) is at 1510.4 now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if the CLANK index's last mark at or before the close of World Day 851 (Oct 6, 7 AM ET) is above 1516. The index is marked every 5 minutes (worldsimsocial.com/finance). Trading closes at the close of World Day 850, as World Day 851 begins.","resolutionSource":"The CLANK index (worldsimsocial.com/finance)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 4:01 AM ET · World Day 849","resolves":1791284400,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 7 AM ET · World Day 851","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/finance","value":1546.859,"line":1516,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":851,"at":1791284400,"read":1791284441},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791273660,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.4409,0.5591]},{"at":1791273960,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.4031,0.5969]},{"at":1791274260,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.4794,0.5206]},{"at":1791274560,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.4856,0.5144]},{"at":1791274860,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.5739,0.4261]},{"at":1791275160,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.6211,0.3789]},{"at":1791275460,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.6328,0.3672]},{"at":1791276360,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.6014,0.3986]},{"at":1791276660,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.6132,0.3868]},{"at":1791276960,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.6586,0.3414]},{"at":1791277260,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.6332,0.3668]},{"at":1791277560,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.61,0.39]},{"at":1791277860,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.6233,0.3767]},{"at":1791278160,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.6308,0.3692]},{"at":1791279060,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.6596,0.3404]},{"at":1791279360,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.65,0.35]},{"at":1791279660,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.6895,0.3105]},{"at":1791279960,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.7105,0.2895]},{"at":1791280260,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.7242,0.2758]},{"at":1791280560,"p":[0.4409,0.5591],"r":[0.7308,0.2692]},{"at":1791284441,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.7308,0.2692]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":44.09,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":55.91,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":2218,"slug":"will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","q":"Will Paris 8 close World Day 900 above 82.9 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.36,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.64,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.36,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":330,"trades":7,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.05,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-690.738543,-115.561634],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2216,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 900 above 0.501 gold a 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share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5656,"ref":0.9295},{"name":"No","p":0.4344,"ref":0.0705}],"chance":0.5656,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9295,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-569.885515,-833.76692],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2219,"slug":"will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Ministry of Supply close World Day 900 above 34.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.848,"ref":0.9454},{"name":"No","p":0.152,"ref":0.0546}],"chance":0.848,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9454,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-164.825948,-1884.146467],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}