{"id":183,"slug":"will-polymarket-launch-its-official-token-in-2026","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-polymarket-launch-its-official-token-in-2026","q":"Will Polymarket launch its official token in 2026?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["space"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1632,"ref":0.113},{"name":"No","p":0.8368,"ref":0.887}],"chance":0.1632,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"mani","source":"Manifold","sourceUrl":"https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/will-polymarket-launch-its-official","ref":0.113,"refSrc":"Manifold","b":1477,"state":[-2677.57646,-263.137449],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791233605,"closes":1798761540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 6:59 PM ET · World Day 2,928","closesWorldDay":2928,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"Resolves YES if Polymarket launches a token (likely called $POLY) that is officially promoted by Polymarket as its official token, and the token is live and transferable on-chain before January 1, 2027.\n\nStablecoins and other utility tokens that are not promoted as Polymarket's official token do not count. An announcement, testnet deployment, or airdrop claim page alone does not qualify, the token must actually launch and be transferable.\n\nThis mirrors a Manifold market: it resolves the way that market resolves.","resolutionSource":"Manifold's resolution (by its creator, with Manifold's moderators as backstop). N/A or canceled there means everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 4:53 PM ET · World Day 837","resolves":1799020740,"resolvesText":"Jan 3, 6:59 PM ET · World Day 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the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?","cat":"culture","catName":"Culture","emoji":"🎬","tags":["space","spacex"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1073,"ref":0.0355},{"name":"No","p":0.8927,"ref":0.9645}],"chance":0.1073,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":430,"trades":21,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027","ref":0.0355,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":4032,"state":[-8683.78365,-139.472705],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791405051,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1828,"slug":"variational-fdv-above-1b-one-day-after-launch","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/variational-fdv-above-1b-one-day-after-launch","q":"Variational FDV above $1B one day after 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Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}