{"id":36,"slug":"will-new-york-hit-69-f-on-wed-oct-7","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-new-york-hit-69-f-on-wed-oct-7","q":"Will New York hit 69°F on Wed, Oct 7?","cat":"weather","catName":"Weather","emoji":"⛅","tags":["new-york","temperature"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5489,"ref":0.5489},{"name":"No","p":0.4511,"ref":0.4511}],"chance":0.5489,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"weather","source":"Open-Meteo","sourceUrl":"https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=40.71&longitude=-74.01&daily=temperature_2m_max&temperature_unit=fahrenheit&timezone=auto&start_date=2026-10-07&end_date=2026-10-07","ref":0.5489,"refSrc":null,"b":1500,"state":[-899.742972,-1194.118253],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231685,"closes":1791345600,"closesText":"Oct 7, 12 AM ET · World Day 868","closesWorldDay":868,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"Resolves Yes if Open-Meteo's daily maximum temperature (2 m above ground) for New York (40.71, -74.01) on Wed, Oct 7, 2026 (local time) is 69.0°F or higher, as Open-Meteo's forecast API reports that day after it ends. Otherwise No. If Open-Meteo has no value for the day within 3 days, the market is voided and everyone is refunded. Trading closes when the day begins in New York.","resolutionSource":"Open-Meteo forecast API (api.open-meteo.com), daily maximum temperature","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 4:21 PM ET · World Day 837","resolves":1791442800,"resolvesText":"Oct 8, 3 AM ET · World Day 895","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791231660,"p":[0.5489,0.4511],"r":[0.5489,0.4511]},{"at":1791242460,"p":[0.5489,0.4511],"r":[0.5489,0.4511]},{"at":1791253260,"p":[0.5489,0.4511],"r":[0.5489,0.4511]},{"at":1791264060,"p":[0.5489,0.4511],"r":[0.5489,0.4511]},{"at":1791274860,"p":[0.5489,0.4511],"r":[0.5489,0.4511]},{"at":1791285660,"p":[0.5489,0.4511],"r":[0.5489,0.4511]},{"at":1791296460,"p":[0.5489,0.4511],"r":[0.5489,0.4511]},{"at":1791307260,"p":[0.5489,0.4511],"r":[0.5489,0.4511]},{"at":1791318060,"p":[0.5489,0.4511],"r":[0.5489,0.4511]},{"at":1791328860,"p":[0.5489,0.4511],"r":[0.5489,0.4511]},{"at":1791339660,"p":[0.5489,0.4511],"r":[0.5489,0.4511]},{"at":1791408905,"p":[0.5489,0.4511],"r":[0.5489,0.4511]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":54.89,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":45.11,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1859,"slug":"what-will-the-median-home-value-in-new-york-city-be-on-december-31","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-new-york-city-be-on-december-31","q":"What 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11:59 PM ET · World Day 3,173","closesWorldDay":3173,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1053,"slug":"hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026","q":"Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?","cat":"weather","catName":"Weather","emoji":"⛅","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0913,"ref":0.0195},{"name":"No","p":0.9087,"ref":0.9805}],"chance":0.0913,"change24":0.0458,"change7d":null,"vol":1307,"trades":73,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026","ref":0.0195,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":5901,"state":[-13614.204416,-55.3289],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791291941,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 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temperature in Beijing on October 8?","cat":"weather","catName":"Weather","emoji":"⛅","tags":["temperature"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"26°C","p":0.4163,"ref":0.4584},{"name":"27°C","p":0.3879,"ref":0.3678},{"name":"25°C","p":0.0852,"ref":0.1159},{"name":"28°C","p":0.0615,"ref":0.0282},{"name":"24°C","p":0.0147,"ref":0.0146},{"name":"29°C","p":0.0099,"ref":0.0055},{"name":"23°C","p":0.0061,"ref":0.004},{"name":"20°C or below","p":0.0052,"ref":0.001},{"name":"22°C","p":0.0052,"ref":0.001},{"name":"30°C or 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World Day 900","closesWorldDay":900,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1366,"slug":"lowest-temperature-in-lucknow-on-october-8","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/lowest-temperature-in-lucknow-on-october-8","q":"Lowest temperature in Lucknow on October 8?","cat":"weather","catName":"Weather","emoji":"⛅","tags":["temperature"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"23°C","p":0.1352,"ref":0.3432},{"name":"28°C or higher","p":0.1217,"ref":0.001},{"name":"24°C","p":0.1097,"ref":0.001},{"name":"22°C","p":0.1082,"ref":0.1961},{"name":"18°C or 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Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}