{"id":589,"slug":"will-elon-musk-win-the-nobel-peace-prize","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-elon-musk-win-the-nobel-peace-prize","q":"Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["elon-musk","us-elections"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0322,"ref":0.0322},{"name":"No","p":0.9678,"ref":0.9678}],"chance":0.0322,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"mani","source":"Manifold","sourceUrl":"https://manifold.markets/JeffBerman/will-elon-musk-win-the-nobel-peace","ref":0.0322,"refSrc":"Manifold","b":1770,"state":[-6083.044854,-57.875302],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791256407,"closes":1863665940,"closesText":"Jan 20, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 20,957","closesWorldDay":20957,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"Elon Musk has been nominated for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts in promoting free speech. 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2026?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["world-elections"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1258,"ref":0.06},{"name":"No","p":0.8742,"ref":0.94}],"chance":0.1258,"change24":0.0496,"change7d":null,"vol":7129,"trades":151,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027","ref":0.06,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":4795,"state":[-3547.304387,5746.307439],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791361010,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":19,"slug":"will-the-iranian-regime-fall-before-2027","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-before-2027","q":"Will the Iranian regime fall before 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simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}