{"id":1461,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-869-above-0-491-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-869-above-0-491-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 869 above 0.491 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791338502,"closes":1791345600,"closesText":"Oct 7, 12 AM ET · World Day 868","closesWorldDay":868,"status":"resolved","winner":"Yes","resolved":1791349242,"creator":null,"about":"Der Hoffskeller trades at 0.501 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Der Hoffskeller's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 869 (Oct 7, 1 AM ET) is above 0.491 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 868, as World Day 869 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (worldsimsocial.com/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 10:01 PM ET · World Day 867","resolves":1791349200,"resolvesText":"Oct 7, 1 AM ET · World Day 869","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","value":0.5012133269869483,"line":0.491,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":869,"at":1791349200,"read":1791349242},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791338460,"p":[0.75,0.25],"r":[0.75,0.25]},{"at":1791349242,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.75,0.25]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":75,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":25,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1961,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-888-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-888-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 888 above 0.501 gold a 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887?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankbook"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.85,"ref":0.95},{"name":"No","p":0.15,"ref":0.05}],"chance":0.85,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/feed?q=%23rfc","ref":0.95,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-162.518929,-1897.119985],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791403611,"closes":1791410400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 6 PM ET · World Day 886","closesWorldDay":886,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}