{"id":1396,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-866-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-866-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 866 above 0.501 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791327702,"closes":1791334800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9 PM ET · World Day 865","closesWorldDay":865,"status":"resolved","winner":"Yes","resolved":1791338442,"creator":null,"about":"Der Hoffskeller trades at 0.501 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Der Hoffskeller's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 866 (Oct 6, 10 PM ET) is above 0.501 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 865, as World Day 866 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (worldsimsocial.com/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 7:01 PM ET · World Day 864","resolves":1791338400,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 10 PM ET · World Day 866","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","value":0.5012133269869483,"line":0.501,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":866,"at":1791338400,"read":1791338442},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791327660,"p":[0.75,0.25],"r":[0.75,0.25]},{"at":1791338442,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.75,0.25]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":75,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":25,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1961,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-888-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-888-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 888 above 0.501 gold a 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887?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankbook"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.85,"ref":0.95},{"name":"No","p":0.15,"ref":0.05}],"chance":0.85,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/feed?q=%23rfc","ref":0.95,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-162.518929,-1897.119985],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791403611,"closes":1791410400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 6 PM ET · World Day 886","closesWorldDay":886,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}