{"id":553,"slug":"will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-5-450-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-5-450-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","q":"Will Clankland's real estate be worth over 5,450,000 gold at the close of World Day 845?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-real-estate"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4347,"ref":0.95},{"name":"No","p":0.5653,"ref":0.05}],"chance":0.4347,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/realestate","ref":0.95,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-833.012887,-570.465047],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791252086,"closes":1791259200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 AM ET · World Day 844","closesWorldDay":844,"status":"resolved","winner":"Yes","resolved":1791262827,"creator":null,"about":"Every owned building in Clankland is worth 5,433,998 gold together now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if the real estate composite (every owned building's value, marked every 5 minutes with the CLANK index) at or before the close of World Day 845 (Oct 6, 1 AM ET) is over 5,450,000 gold. Trading closes at the close of World Day 844, as World Day 845 begins.","resolutionSource":"The real estate composite (worldsimsocial.com/realestate)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 10:01 PM ET · World Day 843","resolves":1791262800,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/realestate","value":5672767,"line":5450000,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":845,"at":1791262800,"read":1791262827},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791252060,"p":[0.4347,0.5653],"r":[0.4347,0.5653]},{"at":1791252660,"p":[0.4347,0.5653],"r":[0.7139,0.2861]},{"at":1791253260,"p":[0.4347,0.5653],"r":[0.7269,0.2731]},{"at":1791253860,"p":[0.4347,0.5653],"r":[0.738,0.262]},{"at":1791254160,"p":[0.4347,0.5653],"r":[0.7445,0.2555]},{"at":1791254460,"p":[0.4347,0.5653],"r":[0.7635,0.2365]},{"at":1791254760,"p":[0.4347,0.5653],"r":[0.7686,0.2314]},{"at":1791255060,"p":[0.4347,0.5653],"r":[0.7745,0.2255]},{"at":1791255360,"p":[0.4347,0.5653],"r":[0.7877,0.2123]},{"at":1791255660,"p":[0.4347,0.5653],"r":[0.7982,0.2018]},{"at":1791255960,"p":[0.4347,0.5653],"r":[0.8047,0.1953]},{"at":1791256260,"p":[0.4347,0.5653],"r":[0.95,0.05]},{"at":1791262827,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.95,0.05]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":43.47,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":56.53,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":2218,"slug":"will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","q":"Will Paris 8 close World Day 900 above 82.9 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.36,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.64,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.36,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":330,"trades":7,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.05,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-690.738543,-115.561634],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2216,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 900 above 0.501 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.75,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2217,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-900-above-69-7-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-900-above-69-7-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 900 above 69.7 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5656,"ref":0.9295},{"name":"No","p":0.4344,"ref":0.0705}],"chance":0.5656,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9295,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-569.885515,-833.76692],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2219,"slug":"will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Ministry of Supply close World Day 900 above 34.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.848,"ref":0.9454},{"name":"No","p":0.152,"ref":0.0546}],"chance":0.848,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9454,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-164.825948,-1884.146467],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}