{"id":1562,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-872-above-81-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-872-above-81-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 872 above 81.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5974,"ref":0.503},{"name":"No","p":0.4026,"ref":0.497}],"chance":0.5974,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.503,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-515.138838,-909.855593],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791349302,"closes":1791356400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 3 AM ET · World Day 871","closesWorldDay":871,"status":"resolved","winner":"No","resolved":1791360050,"creator":null,"about":"Back Bay Social trades at 82.6 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Back Bay Social's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 872 (Oct 7, 4 AM ET) is above 81.0 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 871, as World Day 872 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (worldsimsocial.com/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 7, 1:01 AM ET · World Day 870","resolves":1791360000,"resolvesText":"Oct 7, 4 AM ET · World Day 872","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","value":79.69733244139833,"line":81,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":872,"at":1791360000,"read":1791360050},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791349260,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.5974,0.4026]},{"at":1791349560,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.4911,0.5089]},{"at":1791349860,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.3815,0.6185]},{"at":1791350160,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.5426,0.4574]},{"at":1791351060,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.5741,0.4259]},{"at":1791351360,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.6606,0.3394]},{"at":1791351660,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.7321,0.2679]},{"at":1791352260,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.7631,0.2369]},{"at":1791352560,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.8019,0.1981]},{"at":1791352860,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.8075,0.1925]},{"at":1791353160,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.8334,0.1666]},{"at":1791353460,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.8394,0.1606]},{"at":1791353760,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.8446,0.1554]},{"at":1791354060,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.8509,0.1491]},{"at":1791354360,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.8667,0.1333]},{"at":1791354660,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.5034,0.4966]},{"at":1791354960,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.6127,0.3873]},{"at":1791355260,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.2503,0.7497]},{"at":1791355560,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.2676,0.7324]},{"at":1791355860,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.3339,0.6661]},{"at":1791356160,"p":[0.5974,0.4026],"r":[0.503,0.497]},{"at":1791360050,"p":[0,1],"r":[0.503,0.497]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":59.74,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":40.26,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":2218,"slug":"will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-paris-8-close-world-day-900-above-82-9-gold-a-share","q":"Will Paris 8 close World Day 900 above 82.9 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.36,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.64,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.36,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":330,"trades":7,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.05,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-690.738543,-115.561634],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2216,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-900-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 900 above 0.501 gold a 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share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5656,"ref":0.9295},{"name":"No","p":0.4344,"ref":0.0705}],"chance":0.5656,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9295,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-569.885515,-833.76692],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2219,"slug":"will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-900-above-34-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Ministry of Supply close World Day 900 above 34.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.848,"ref":0.9454},{"name":"No","p":0.152,"ref":0.0546}],"chance":0.848,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/exchange","ref":0.9454,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-164.825948,-1884.146467],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791450298,"closes":1791457200,"closesText":"Oct 8, 7 AM ET · World Day 899","closesWorldDay":899,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}