{"id":433,"slug":"third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november","q":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","cat":"tech","catName":"Tech & AI","emoji":"🤖","tags":["ai"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Meta","p":0.3308,"ref":0.336},{"name":"Alibaba","p":0.1495,"ref":0.1478},{"name":"Google","p":0.1314,"ref":0.121},{"name":"Anthropic","p":0.0566,"ref":0.0569},{"name":"Moonshot","p":0.0462,"ref":0.0466},{"name":"Z.ai","p":0.0403,"ref":0.0399},{"name":"OpenAI","p":0.0381,"ref":0.0376},{"name":"ByteDance","p":0.0358,"ref":0.0354},{"name":"Microsoft","p":0.0344,"ref":0.0341},{"name":"Xiaomi","p":0.0313,"ref":0.0408},{"name":"Other","p":0.1056,"ref":0.1039}],"chance":0.3308,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november","ref":0.336,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1341.25,"state":[-1483.88506,-2548.773018,-2722.078253,-3850.830241,-4123.561255,-4306.42251,-4383.97301,-4466.284109,-4518.209948,-4647.810692,-3015.600715],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791241525,"closes":1796101140,"closesText":"Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,189","closesWorldDay":2189,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.","rules":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle): the outcome whose Polymarket market resolves Yes wins here; one not listed here counts as Other. If Polymarket voids it, everyone is refunded.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 7:05 PM ET · World Day 840","resolves":1796101140,"resolvesText":"Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 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