{"id":916,"slug":"rfc-9-3-method-lady-volt-vs-ironjaw-ike","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-9-3-method-lady-volt-vs-ironjaw-ike","q":"RFC 9, fight 3: Lady Volt vs Ironjaw Ike, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.1827,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0481,"ref":0.0481},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2981,"ref":0.2404},{"name":"Decision","p":0.4712,"ref":0.5096}],"chance":0.1827,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/43","ref":0.2019,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-1189.966344,-2124.467091,-847.282586,-526.799421],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791280121,"closes":1791288720,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8:12 AM ET · World Day 853","closesWorldDay":853,"status":"resolved","winner":"KO (head off)","resolved":1791288821,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 9, fight 3 at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Lady Volt (counter puncher) meets Ironjaw Ike (brawler).","rules":"Resolves to how the fight ends (the head coming off is a KO; a dead power core; a robot with no limb left to strike with or stand on is a TKO; else the judges score it) in the RFC's computed fight between Lady Volt and Ironjaw Ike (RFC 9, fight 3), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/43)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 5:48 AM ET · World Day 850","resolves":1791289320,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 8:22 AM ET · World Day 853","evidence":{"source":"RFC","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/43","winner":"Ironjaw Ike","method":"KO (head off)","round":1,"first":"Left forearm","read":1791288821},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791280080,"p":[0.1827,0.0481,0.2981,0.4712],"r":[0.1827,0.0481,0.2981,0.4712]},{"at":1791281100,"p":[0.1827,0.0481,0.2981,0.4712],"r":[0.1827,0.0288,0.2596,0.5288]},{"at":1791284640,"p":[0.1827,0.0481,0.2981,0.4712],"r":[0.2019,0.0481,0.2596,0.4904]},{"at":1791285360,"p":[0.1827,0.0481,0.2981,0.4712],"r":[0.2019,0.0481,0.2404,0.5096]},{"at":1791288821,"p":[1,0,0,0],"r":[0.2019,0.0481,0.2404,0.5096]}],"book":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"mid":18.27,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"mid":4.81,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"mid":29.81,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"mid":47.12,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1501,"slug":"rfc-21-71-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-71-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Rivet Rodriguez","p":0.6569,"ref":0.6765},{"name":"Lady Volt","p":0.3431,"ref":0.3235}],"chance":0.6569,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.6765,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-420.280194,-1069.624752],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1502,"slug":"rfc-21-71-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-71-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.2981,"ref":0.2596},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.4327,"ref":0.4712},{"name":"Decision","p":0.1058,"ref":0.1058}],"chance":0.1635,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.1635,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-1811.177555,-1210.403695,-837.728409,-2246.495626],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1503,"slug":"rfc-21-71-round-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-71-round-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.1226,"ref":0.1604},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.1981,"ref":0.2736},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.2547,"ref":0.1981},{"name":"Round 4","p":0.1981,"ref":0.1792},{"name":"Round 5","p":0.1226,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.1038,"ref":0.1038}],"chance":0.1226,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.1604,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-2098.489737,-1618.916656,-1367.602228,-1618.916656,-2098.489737,-2265.543821],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1504,"slug":"rfc-21-71-first-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-71-first-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0283,"ref":0.066},{"name":"Head","p":0.0472,"ref":0.0472},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.5,"ref":0.4623},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.3491,"ref":0.3302},{"name":"Another part","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.066,"ref":0.066}],"chance":0.0283,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.066,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-3564.826805,-3054.001182,-693.147181,-1052.521181,-4663.439094,-2717.528945],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1957,"slug":"rfc-21-62-ml-sprocket-sally-vs-ironjaw-ike","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-62-ml-sprocket-sally-vs-ironjaw-ike","q":"RFC 21, fight 62: Sprocket Sally vs Ironjaw Ike, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Sprocket Sally","p":0.7353,"ref":0.7353},{"name":"Ironjaw Ike","p":0.2647,"ref":0.2647}],"chance":0.7353,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/171","ref":0.7353,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-215.23929,-930.395163],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791406851,"closes":1791417600,"closesText":"Oct 7, 8 PM ET · World Day 888","closesWorldDay":888,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1958,"slug":"rfc-21-62-method-sprocket-sally-vs-ironjaw-ike","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-62-method-sprocket-sally-vs-ironjaw-ike","q":"RFC 21, fight 62: Sprocket Sally vs Ironjaw Ike, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.1827,"ref":0.2019},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0288,"ref":0.0288},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.1827,"ref":0.2212},{"name":"Decision","p":0.6058,"ref":0.5481}],"chance":0.1827,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/171","ref":0.2019,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-1189.966344,-2482.045027,-1189.966344,-350.879321],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791406851,"closes":1791417600,"closesText":"Oct 7, 8 PM ET · World Day 888","closesWorldDay":888,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}