{"id":876,"slug":"rfc-8-5-method-sprocket-sally-vs-the-toaster","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-8-5-method-sprocket-sally-vs-the-toaster","q":"RFC 8 main event: Sprocket Sally vs The Toaster, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.4712,"ref":0.4904},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.125,"ref":0.1058},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.3365,"ref":0.3173},{"name":"Decision","p":0.0673,"ref":0.0865}],"chance":0.4712,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/40","ref":0.4904,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-526.799421,-1455.609079,-762.329986,-1888.936525],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791276521,"closes":1791286560,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7:36 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"resolved","winner":"Power core failure","resolved":1791286841,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 8 main event at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Sprocket Sally (kicker) meets The Toaster (power puncher).","rules":"Resolves to how the fight ends (the head coming off is a KO; a dead power core; a robot with no limb left to strike with or stand on is a TKO; else the judges score it) in the RFC's computed fight between Sprocket Sally and The Toaster (RFC 8 main event), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/40)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 4:48 AM ET · World Day 849","resolves":1791287160,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 7:46 AM ET · World Day 852","evidence":{"source":"RFC","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/40","winner":"Sprocket Sally","method":"Power core failure","round":2,"first":"Left thigh","read":1791286841},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791276480,"p":[0.4712,0.125,0.3365,0.0673],"r":[0.4712,0.125,0.3365,0.0673]},{"at":1791282060,"p":[0.4712,0.125,0.3365,0.0673],"r":[0.5096,0.0865,0.3173,0.0865]},{"at":1791283440,"p":[0.4712,0.125,0.3365,0.0673],"r":[0.4904,0.1058,0.3173,0.0865]},{"at":1791286841,"p":[0,1,0,0],"r":[0.4904,0.1058,0.3173,0.0865]}],"book":[{"outcome":"KO (head 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Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Rivet Rodriguez","p":0.5588,"ref":0.598},{"name":"Lady Volt","p":0.4412,"ref":0.402}],"chance":0.5588,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/188","ref":0.598,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-581.921545,-818.310324],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791428901,"closes":1791514800,"closesText":"Oct 8, 11 PM ET · World Day 915","closesWorldDay":915,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2078,"slug":"rfc-22-71-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-22-71-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 22 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head 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vs Sprocket Sally, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Rivet Rodriguez","p":0.5784,"ref":0.5784},{"name":"Sprocket Sally","p":0.4216,"ref":0.4216}],"chance":0.5784,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/211","ref":0.5784,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-383.204759,-604.640888],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791456058,"closes":1791466800,"closesText":"Oct 8, 9:40 AM ET · World Day 902","closesWorldDay":902,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2245,"slug":"rfc-22-31-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-22-31-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","q":"RFC 22, fight 31: Rivet Rodriguez vs Sprocket Sally, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2788},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.3173,"ref":0.3173},{"name":"Decision","p":0.2404,"ref":0.2404}],"chance":0.2788,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/211","ref":0.2788,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-893.966548,-1267.824289,-803.518336,-997.860552],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791456058,"closes":1791466800,"closesText":"Oct 8, 9:40 AM ET · World Day 902","closesWorldDay":902,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}