{"id":871,"slug":"rfc-8-4-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-tin-pan-tommy","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-8-4-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-tin-pan-tommy","q":"RFC 8, fight 4: Rivet Rodriguez vs Tin Pan Tommy, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Rivet Rodriguez","p":0.598,"ref":0.5784},{"name":"Tin Pan Tommy","p":0.402,"ref":0.4216}],"chance":0.598,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/39","ref":0.5784,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-359.869264,-637.980523],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791276521,"closes":1791285840,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7:24 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"resolved","winner":"Rivet Rodriguez","resolved":1791286121,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 8, fight 4 at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Rivet Rodriguez (pressure boxer) meets Tin Pan Tommy (volume puncher).","rules":"Resolves to the winner in the RFC's computed fight between Rivet Rodriguez and Tin Pan Tommy (RFC 8, fight 4), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/39)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 4:48 AM ET · World Day 849","resolves":1791286440,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 7:34 AM ET · World Day 852","evidence":{"source":"RFC","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/39","winner":"Rivet Rodriguez","method":"KO (head off)","round":2,"first":"Right thigh","read":1791286121},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791276480,"p":[0.598,0.402],"r":[0.598,0.402]},{"at":1791279840,"p":[0.598,0.402],"r":[0.5784,0.4216]},{"at":1791282060,"p":[0.598,0.402],"r":[0.5588,0.4412]},{"at":1791283440,"p":[0.598,0.402],"r":[0.5784,0.4216]},{"at":1791286121,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.5784,0.4216]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Rivet 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vs Sprocket Sally, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Rivet Rodriguez","p":0.5784,"ref":0.5784},{"name":"Sprocket Sally","p":0.4216,"ref":0.4216}],"chance":0.5784,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/211","ref":0.5784,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-383.204759,-604.640888],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791456058,"closes":1791466800,"closesText":"Oct 8, 9:40 AM ET · World Day 902","closesWorldDay":902,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":2245,"slug":"rfc-22-31-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-22-31-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-sprocket-sally","q":"RFC 22, fight 31: Rivet Rodriguez vs Sprocket Sally, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2788},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.3173,"ref":0.3173},{"name":"Decision","p":0.2404,"ref":0.2404}],"chance":0.2788,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/211","ref":0.2788,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-893.966548,-1267.824289,-803.518336,-997.860552],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791456058,"closes":1791466800,"closesText":"Oct 8, 9:40 AM ET · World Day 902","closesWorldDay":902,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}