{"id":786,"slug":"rfc-6-4-round-tin-pan-tommy-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-6-4-round-tin-pan-tommy-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 6, fight 4: Tin Pan Tommy vs Lady Volt, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.2019,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.2404,"ref":0.2788},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.125,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.4327,"ref":0.3942}],"chance":0.2019,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/29","ref":0.1635,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-1119.907923,-997.860552,-1455.609079,-586.409887],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791269321,"closes":1791278640,"closesText":"Oct 6, 5:24 AM ET · World Day 850","closesWorldDay":850,"status":"resolved","winner":"Round 1","resolved":1791278801,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 6, fight 4 at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. Tin Pan Tommy (volume puncher) meets Lady Volt (counter puncher).","rules":"Resolves to the round it ends in (a decision goes the distance) in the RFC's computed fight between Tin Pan Tommy and Lady Volt (RFC 6, fight 4), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/29)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 2:48 AM ET · World Day 847","resolves":1791279240,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 5:34 AM ET · World Day 850","evidence":{"source":"RFC","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/29","winner":"Lady Volt","method":"TKO (dismantled)","round":1,"first":"Right thigh","read":1791278801},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791269280,"p":[0.2019,0.2404,0.125,0.4327],"r":[0.2019,0.2404,0.125,0.4327]},{"at":1791269340,"p":[0.2019,0.2404,0.125,0.4327],"r":[0.1827,0.2596,0.1058,0.4519]},{"at":1791271260,"p":[0.2019,0.2404,0.125,0.4327],"r":[0.1635,0.2596,0.1442,0.4327]},{"at":1791274920,"p":[0.2019,0.2404,0.125,0.4327],"r":[0.1635,0.2788,0.1442,0.4135]},{"at":1791275400,"p":[0.2019,0.2404,0.125,0.4327],"r":[0.1635,0.2788,0.1635,0.3942]},{"at":1791278801,"p":[1,0,0,0],"r":[0.1635,0.2788,0.1635,0.3942]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Round 1","o":0,"mid":20.19,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Round 2","o":1,"mid":24.04,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Round 3","o":2,"mid":12.5,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Goes the distance","o":3,"mid":43.27,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Round 1","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Round 2","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Round 3","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Goes the distance","o":3,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1501,"slug":"rfc-21-71-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-71-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Rivet Rodriguez","p":0.6569,"ref":0.6765},{"name":"Lady Volt","p":0.3431,"ref":0.3235}],"chance":0.6569,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.6765,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-420.280194,-1069.624752],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1502,"slug":"rfc-21-71-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-71-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.2981,"ref":0.2596},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.4327,"ref":0.4712},{"name":"Decision","p":0.1058,"ref":0.1058}],"chance":0.1635,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.1635,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-1811.177555,-1210.403695,-837.728409,-2246.495626],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1503,"slug":"rfc-21-71-round-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-71-round-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.1226,"ref":0.1604},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.1981,"ref":0.2736},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.2547,"ref":0.1981},{"name":"Round 4","p":0.1981,"ref":0.1792},{"name":"Round 5","p":0.1226,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.1038,"ref":0.1038}],"chance":0.1226,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.1604,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-2098.489737,-1618.916656,-1367.602228,-1618.916656,-2098.489737,-2265.543821],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1504,"slug":"rfc-21-71-first-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-71-first-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0283,"ref":0.066},{"name":"Head","p":0.0472,"ref":0.0472},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.5,"ref":0.4623},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.3491,"ref":0.3302},{"name":"Another part","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.066,"ref":0.066}],"chance":0.0283,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.066,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-3564.826805,-3054.001182,-693.147181,-1052.521181,-4663.439094,-2717.528945],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1965,"slug":"rfc-21-63-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-63-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 21, fight 63: Rivet Rodriguez vs Gearbox Gus, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Rivet Rodriguez","p":0.8529,"ref":0.8529},{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.1471,"ref":0.1471}],"chance":0.8529,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/172","ref":0.8529,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-111.345286,-1341.845829],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791408051,"closes":1791418800,"closesText":"Oct 7, 8:20 PM ET · World Day 889","closesWorldDay":889,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1966,"slug":"rfc-21-63-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-63-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 21, fight 63: Rivet Rodriguez vs Gearbox Gus, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.2596,"ref":0.2596},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0481,"ref":0.0481},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2788},{"name":"Decision","p":0.4135,"ref":0.4135}],"chance":0.2596,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/172","ref":0.2596,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-943.987823,-2124.467091,-893.966548,-618.233548],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791408051,"closes":1791418800,"closesText":"Oct 7, 8:20 PM ET · World Day 889","closesWorldDay":889,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}