{"id":2085,"slug":"rfc-22-10-ml-lady-volt-vs-the-toaster","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-22-10-ml-lady-volt-vs-the-toaster","q":"RFC 22, fight 10: Lady Volt vs The Toaster, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Lady Volt","p":0.5,"ref":0.4608},{"name":"The Toaster","p":0.5,"ref":0.5392}],"chance":0.5,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/190","ref":0.4608,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-485.203026,-485.203026],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791430821,"closes":1791441600,"closesText":"Oct 8, 2:40 AM ET · World Day 895","closesWorldDay":895,"status":"resolved","winner":"The Toaster","resolved":1791441898,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 22, fight 10 at The Arena, Las Vegas. Lady Volt (counter puncher) meets The Toaster (power puncher).","rules":"Resolves to the winner in the RFC's computed fight between Lady Volt and The Toaster (RFC 22, fight 10), at The Arena in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 15 minutes (3 rounds, unless it ends sooner). Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/190)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 7, 11:40 PM ET · World Day 892","resolves":1791442500,"resolvesText":"Oct 8, 2:55 AM ET · World Day 895","evidence":{"source":"RFC","url":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/190","winner":"The Toaster","method":"KO (head off)","round":1,"first":"Right forearm","read":1791441898},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791430800,"p":[0.5,0.5],"r":[0.5,0.5]},{"at":1791434580,"p":[0.5,0.5],"r":[0.4412,0.5588]},{"at":1791437100,"p":[0.5,0.5],"r":[0.4608,0.5392]},{"at":1791441898,"p":[0,1],"r":[0.4608,0.5392]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Lady Volt","o":0,"mid":50,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"The 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(dismantled)","p":0.3173,"ref":0.3173},{"name":"Decision","p":0.2404,"ref":0.2404}],"chance":0.2788,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/211","ref":0.2788,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-893.966548,-1267.824289,-803.518336,-997.860552],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791456058,"closes":1791466800,"closesText":"Oct 8, 9:40 AM ET · World Day 902","closesWorldDay":902,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}