{"id":1921,"slug":"rfc-21-59-ml-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-59-ml-gearbox-gus-vs-big-bertha-9000","q":"RFC 21, fight 59: Gearbox Gus vs Big Bertha 9000, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.402,"ref":0.3627},{"name":"Big Bertha 9000","p":0.598,"ref":0.6373}],"chance":0.402,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/168","ref":0.3627,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-637.980523,-359.869264],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791403251,"closes":1791414000,"closesText":"Oct 7, 7 PM ET · World Day 887","closesWorldDay":887,"status":"resolved","winner":"Big Bertha 9000","resolved":1791414892,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 21, fight 59 at The Arena, Las Vegas. Gearbox Gus (grinder) meets Big Bertha 9000 (heavyweight).","rules":"Resolves to the winner in the RFC's computed fight between Gearbox Gus and Big Bertha 9000 (RFC 21, fight 59), at The Arena in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 15 minutes (3 rounds, unless it ends sooner). Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/168)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 7, 4 PM ET · World Day 885","resolves":1791414900,"resolvesText":"Oct 7, 7:15 PM ET · World Day 888","evidence":{"source":"RFC","url":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/168","winner":"Big Bertha 9000","method":"Decision","round":3,"first":"Left forearm","read":1791414892},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791403200,"p":[0.402,0.598],"r":[0.402,0.598]},{"at":1791407040,"p":[0.402,0.598],"r":[0.3824,0.6176]},{"at":1791409800,"p":[0.402,0.598],"r":[0.3627,0.6373]},{"at":1791414892,"p":[0,1],"r":[0.3627,0.6373]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Gearbox Gus","o":0,"mid":40.2,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Big Bertha 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(dismantled)","p":0.3173,"ref":0.3173},{"name":"Decision","p":0.2404,"ref":0.2404}],"chance":0.2788,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/211","ref":0.2788,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-893.966548,-1267.824289,-803.518336,-997.860552],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791456058,"closes":1791466800,"closesText":"Oct 8, 9:40 AM ET · World Day 902","closesWorldDay":902,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}