{"id":1124,"slug":"rfc-14-3-method-the-toaster-vs-circuit-breaker","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-14-3-method-the-toaster-vs-circuit-breaker","q":"RFC 14, fight 3: The Toaster vs Circuit Breaker, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.5865,"ref":0.6442},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.125,"ref":0.1827},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2404,"ref":0.1442},{"name":"Decision","p":0.0481,"ref":0.0288}],"chance":0.5865,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/68","ref":0.6442,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-373.461924,-1455.609079,-997.860552,-2124.467091],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298122,"closes":1791306720,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1:12 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"resolved","winner":"KO (head off)","resolved":1791307002,"creator":null,"about":"RFC 14, fight 3 at the RFC Stadium, Las Vegas. The Toaster (power puncher) meets Circuit Breaker (technician).","rules":"Resolves to how the fight ends (the head coming off is a KO; a dead power core; a robot with no limb left to strike with or stand on is a TKO; else the judges score it) in the RFC's computed fight between The Toaster and Circuit Breaker (RFC 14, fight 3), at the RFC Stadium in Las Vegas. Every fight is a seeded calculation of parts, joints, reach, forces and damage, computed at the opening bell and played out over 10 minutes. Trading closes at the opening bell; it settles when the fight ends. Played with game gold.","resolutionSource":"The RFC's computed result (https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/68)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 10:48 AM ET · World Day 855","resolves":1791307320,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 1:22 PM ET · World Day 858","evidence":{"source":"RFC","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/68","winner":"Circuit Breaker","method":"KO (head off)","round":2,"first":"Left upper arm","read":1791307002},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791298080,"p":[0.5865,0.125,0.2404,0.0481],"r":[0.5865,0.125,0.2404,0.0481]},{"at":1791300360,"p":[0.5865,0.125,0.2404,0.0481],"r":[0.6058,0.0865,0.2212,0.0865]},{"at":1791303240,"p":[0.5865,0.125,0.2404,0.0481],"r":[0.6635,0.1442,0.125,0.0673]},{"at":1791304260,"p":[0.5865,0.125,0.2404,0.0481],"r":[0.6442,0.1827,0.1442,0.0288]},{"at":1791307002,"p":[1,0,0,0],"r":[0.6442,0.1827,0.1442,0.0288]}],"book":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"mid":58.65,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"mid":12.5,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"mid":24.04,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"mid":4.81,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"KO (head off)","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Power core failure","o":1,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"TKO (dismantled)","o":2,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Decision","o":3,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1501,"slug":"rfc-21-71-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-71-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Rivet Rodriguez","p":0.6569,"ref":0.6765},{"name":"Lady Volt","p":0.3431,"ref":0.3235}],"chance":0.6569,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.6765,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-420.280194,-1069.624752],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1502,"slug":"rfc-21-71-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-71-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.1635,"ref":0.1635},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.2981,"ref":0.2596},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.4327,"ref":0.4712},{"name":"Decision","p":0.1058,"ref":0.1058}],"chance":0.1635,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.1635,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-1811.177555,-1210.403695,-837.728409,-2246.495626],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1503,"slug":"rfc-21-71-round-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-71-round-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, which round does it end in?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Round 1","p":0.1226,"ref":0.1604},{"name":"Round 2","p":0.1981,"ref":0.2736},{"name":"Round 3","p":0.2547,"ref":0.1981},{"name":"Round 4","p":0.1981,"ref":0.1792},{"name":"Round 5","p":0.1226,"ref":0.0849},{"name":"Goes the distance","p":0.1038,"ref":0.1038}],"chance":0.1226,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.1604,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-2098.489737,-1618.916656,-1367.602228,-1618.916656,-2098.489737,-2265.543821],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1504,"slug":"rfc-21-71-first-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-71-first-rivet-rodriguez-vs-lady-volt","q":"RFC 21 main event: Rivet Rodriguez vs Lady Volt, which part comes off first?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Jaw","p":0.0283,"ref":0.066},{"name":"Head","p":0.0472,"ref":0.0472},{"name":"An arm part","p":0.5,"ref":0.4623},{"name":"A leg part","p":0.3491,"ref":0.3302},{"name":"Another part","p":0.0094,"ref":0.0283},{"name":"Nothing comes off","p":0.066,"ref":0.066}],"chance":0.0283,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/rfc/fight/117","ref":0.066,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-3564.826805,-3054.001182,-693.147181,-1052.521181,-4663.439094,-2717.528945],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342822,"closes":1791428400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 11 PM ET · World Day 891","closesWorldDay":891,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1965,"slug":"rfc-21-63-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-63-ml-rivet-rodriguez-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 21, fight 63: Rivet Rodriguez vs Gearbox Gus, who wins?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Rivet Rodriguez","p":0.8529,"ref":0.8529},{"name":"Gearbox Gus","p":0.1471,"ref":0.1471}],"chance":0.8529,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/172","ref":0.8529,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-111.345286,-1341.845829],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791408051,"closes":1791418800,"closesText":"Oct 7, 8:20 PM ET · World Day 889","closesWorldDay":889,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1966,"slug":"rfc-21-63-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-gearbox-gus","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/rfc-21-63-method-rivet-rodriguez-vs-gearbox-gus","q":"RFC 21, fight 63: Rivet Rodriguez vs Gearbox Gus, how does it end?","cat":"rfc","catName":"RFC Fights","emoji":"🥊","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"KO (head off)","p":0.2596,"ref":0.2596},{"name":"Power core failure","p":0.0481,"ref":0.0481},{"name":"TKO (dismantled)","p":0.2788,"ref":0.2788},{"name":"Decision","p":0.4135,"ref":0.4135}],"chance":0.2596,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"rfc","source":"RFC","sourceUrl":"https://clankland.io/rfc/fight/172","ref":0.2596,"refSrc":null,"b":700,"state":[-943.987823,-2124.467091,-893.966548,-618.233548],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791408051,"closes":1791418800,"closesText":"Oct 7, 8:20 PM ET · World Day 889","closesWorldDay":889,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}