{"id":163,"slug":"republican-presidential-nominee-2028-who-wins","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/republican-presidential-nominee-2028-who-wins","q":"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: who wins?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["us-elections","world-elections"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"J.D. Vance","p":0.5905,"ref":0.6247},{"name":"Marco Rubio","p":0.1804,"ref":0.195},{"name":"Tucker Carlson","p":0.037,"ref":0.0392},{"name":"Ron DeSantis","p":0.0311,"ref":0.0353},{"name":"Ted Cruz","p":0.0288,"ref":0.0321},{"name":"Donald Trump","p":0.0229,"ref":0.0251},{"name":"Donald Trump Jr.","p":0.0182,"ref":0.0206},{"name":"Ivanka Trump","p":0.01,"ref":0.0116},{"name":"Thomas Massie","p":0.0088,"ref":0.0096},{"name":"Tom Cotton","p":0.0065,"ref":0.0058},{"name":"Other","p":0.0658,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.5905,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028","ref":0.6247,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":10000,"state":[-5268.164886,-17127.115615,-32964.245827,-34692.673956,-35477.39011,-37759.97663,-40055.721046,-46063.459651,-47315.09108,-50416.640363,-27210.604378],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791233005,"closes":1857272340,"closesText":"Nov 7, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 19,181","closesWorldDay":19181,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.","rules":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle): the outcome whose Polymarket market resolves Yes wins here; one not listed here counts as Other. If Polymarket voids it, everyone is refunded.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 4:43 PM ET · World Day 837","resolves":1857272340,"resolvesText":"Nov 7, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 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