{"id":664,"slug":"next-mayor-of-mangaung-bloemfontein","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/next-mayor-of-mangaung-bloemfontein","q":"Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["world-elections"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Werner Pretorius","p":0.3708,"ref":0.2756},{"name":"Vusimuzi Soqaga","p":0.2363,"ref":0.2169},{"name":"Bongani Mathae","p":0.0851,"ref":0.0563},{"name":"Lulaman Oditi-Titi","p":0.0775,"ref":0.25},{"name":"Gregory Nthatisi","p":0.0475,"ref":0.0519},{"name":"Sekhopi Malebo","p":0.0437,"ref":0.0328},{"name":"Sam Matiase","p":0.0414,"ref":0.0348},{"name":"Motshewa Tladi","p":0.039,"ref":0.0344},{"name":"Thabo Manyoni","p":0.0385,"ref":0.0328},{"name":"Theodorah Mosala-Leeuw","p":0.0162,"ref":0.0136},{"name":"Other","p":0.004,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.3708,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-mangaung-bloemfontein","ref":0.2756,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":2516.25,"state":[-2496.175728,-3630.259401,-6199.86452,-6435.475111,-7664.864573,-7874.673547,-8015.28275,-8164.216748,-8195.091368,-10379.419384,-13893.868946],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791259527,"closes":1793854740,"closesText":"Nov 4, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 1,565","closesWorldDay":1565,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.","rules":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle): the outcome whose Polymarket market resolves Yes wins here; one not listed here counts as Other. If Polymarket voids it, everyone is refunded.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 12:05 AM ET · World Day 845","resolves":1793854740,"resolvesText":"Nov 4, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 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