{"id":112,"slug":"democratic-presidential-nominee-2028-who-wins","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028-who-wins","q":"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: who wins?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":["us-elections","world-elections"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","p":0.1952,"ref":0.2249},{"name":"Gavin Newsom","p":0.1697,"ref":0.2135},{"name":"Jon Ossoff","p":0.1615,"ref":0.1885},{"name":"Kamala Harris","p":0.0718,"ref":0.0927},{"name":"Josh Shapiro","p":0.0647,"ref":0.0789},{"name":"Pete Buttigieg","p":0.0549,"ref":0.0645},{"name":"Andy Beshear","p":0.0332,"ref":0.0388},{"name":"James Talarico","p":0.0321,"ref":0.0395},{"name":"Mark Kelly","p":0.0277,"ref":0.032},{"name":"Wes Moore","p":0.0223,"ref":0.0257},{"name":"Other","p":0.1669,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.1952,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","ref":0.2249,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":10000,"state":[-16336.548361,-17739.740368,-18232.450858,-26341.75302,-27378.537315,-29018.567078,-34061.033604,-34394.397807,-35851.515919,-38034.051579,-17901.29477],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232045,"closes":1857272340,"closesText":"Nov 7, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 19,181","closesWorldDay":19181,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.","rules":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle): the outcome whose Polymarket market resolves Yes wins here; one not listed here counts as Other. If Polymarket voids it, everyone is refunded.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 4:27 PM ET · World Day 837","resolves":1857272340,"resolvesText":"Nov 7, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 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