{"id":350,"slug":"bitcoin-below-55k-in-2026","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/bitcoin-below-55k-in-2026","q":"Bitcoin below $55K in 2026?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.105,"ref":0.085},{"name":"No","p":0.895,"ref":0.915}],"chance":0.105,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"mani","source":"Manifold","sourceUrl":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/bitcoin-below-55k-in-2026","ref":0.085,"refSrc":"Manifold","b":1947,"state":[-4387.669145,-216.038847],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791239365,"closes":1798761540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 6:59 PM ET · World Day 2,928","closesWorldDay":2928,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"Yes if the Coinbase BTC-USD 1-minute candle low is ≤ $55,000 any time between (Jan 1, 2026 00:00 PT) through Dec 31, 2026 23:59 PT; otherwise No.\n\nSource: Coinbase (BTC-USD). \n\nPrimary source (API) Example:\n\nhttps://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?start=2026-02-05T22:00:00Z&end=2026-02-06T02:00:00Z&granularity=60\n\nRequired URL parameters:\n\nstart, ISO8601 UTC start time (e.g. 2026-02-05T22:00:00Z)\n\nend, ISO8601 UTC end time (e.g. 2026-02-06T02:00:00Z)\n\ngranularity, seconds per candle (e.g. 60 for 1-minute bars)\n\nResponse:\n\n[ time, low, high, open, close, volume ]\n\ncurl -X GET \"https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?start=2026-02-05T22:00:00Z&end=2026-02-06T02:00:00Z&granularity=60\"\n\nResolution: Dec 31, 2026, 23:59 PT, or earlier upon trigger.\n\nThis mirrors a Manifold market: it resolves the way that market resolves.","resolutionSource":"Manifold's resolution (by its creator, with Manifold's moderators as backstop). N/A or canceled there means everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 6:29 PM ET · World Day 839","resolves":1799020740,"resolvesText":"Jan 3, 6:59 PM ET · World Day 3,000","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791239340,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.105,0.895]},{"at":1791253260,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.105,0.895]},{"at":1791264060,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.105,0.895]},{"at":1791274860,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.105,0.895]},{"at":1791285660,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.105,0.895]},{"at":1791296460,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.105,0.895]},{"at":1791297300,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.0721,0.9279]},{"at":1791300720,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.085,0.915]},{"at":1791305760,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.09,0.91]},{"at":1791314760,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.0844,0.9156]},{"at":1791328860,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.085,0.915]},{"at":1791339660,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.085,0.915]},{"at":1791350460,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.085,0.915]},{"at":1791361260,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.085,0.915]},{"at":1791372060,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.085,0.915]},{"at":1791382860,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.085,0.915]},{"at":1791393660,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.085,0.915]},{"at":1791404460,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.085,0.915]},{"at":1791408072,"p":[0.105,0.895],"r":[0.085,0.915]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":10.5,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":11,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":11,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":11.11},{"price":12,"shares":191,"people":0,"house":191,"total":34.03},{"price":13,"shares":178,"people":0,"house":178,"total":57.17},{"price":14,"shares":167,"people":0,"house":167,"total":80.55},{"price":15,"shares":157,"people":0,"house":157,"total":104.1},{"price":16,"shares":149,"people":0,"house":149,"total":127.94}],"bids":[{"price":10,"shares":106,"people":0,"house":106,"total":10.6},{"price":9,"shares":227,"people":0,"house":227,"total":31.03},{"price":8,"shares":251,"people":0,"house":251,"total":51.11},{"price":7,"shares":281,"people":0,"house":281,"total":70.78},{"price":6,"shares":321,"people":0,"house":321,"total":90.04},{"price":5,"shares":375,"people":0,"house":375,"total":108.79}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":89.5,"bestBid":89,"bestAsk":90,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":90,"shares":106,"people":0,"house":106,"total":95.4},{"price":91,"shares":227,"people":0,"house":227,"total":301.97},{"price":92,"shares":251,"people":0,"house":251,"total":532.89},{"price":93,"shares":281,"people":0,"house":281,"total":794.22},{"price":94,"shares":321,"people":0,"house":321,"total":1095.96},{"price":95,"shares":375,"people":0,"house":375,"total":1452.21}],"bids":[{"price":89,"shares":101,"people":0,"house":101,"total":89.89},{"price":88,"shares":191,"people":0,"house":191,"total":257.97},{"price":87,"shares":178,"people":0,"house":178,"total":412.83},{"price":86,"shares":167,"people":0,"house":167,"total":556.45},{"price":85,"shares":157,"people":0,"house":157,"total":689.9},{"price":84,"shares":149,"people":0,"house":149,"total":815.06}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1740,"slug":"will-bitcoin-dip-to-81-000-on-october-7","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-bitcoin-dip-to-81-000-on-october-7","q":"Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 7?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.2954,"ref":0.0205},{"name":"No","p":0.7046,"ref":0.9795}],"chance":0.2954,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":2686,"trades":60,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-october-7-2026/will-bitcoin-dip-to-81k-on-october-7-2026","ref":0.0205,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1580,"state":[583.385885,1956.96503],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791373850,"closes":1791432000,"closesText":"Oct 8, 12 AM ET · World Day 892","closesWorldDay":892,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":52,"slug":"will-bitcoin-reach-87-500-in-october","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-bitcoin-reach-87-500-in-october","q":"Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.6418,"ref":0.565},{"name":"No","p":0.3582,"ref":0.435}],"chance":0.6418,"change24":-0.1381,"change7d":null,"vol":4296,"trades":106,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-october-2026/will-bitcoin-reach-87pt5k-in-october-2026","ref":0.565,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":3257,"state":[1963.801324,64.484558],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1793505600,"closesText":"Nov 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 1,468","closesWorldDay":1468,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":60,"slug":"will-bitcoin-dip-to-50-000-by-december-31-2026","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-bitcoin-dip-to-50-000-by-december-31-2026","q":"Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1385,"ref":0.055},{"name":"No","p":0.8615,"ref":0.945}],"chance":0.1385,"change24":0.005,"change7d":null,"vol":6400,"trades":202,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027/will-bitcoin-dip-to-50000-by-december-31-2026-454-325-222-878-949-487-451-853-523-111","ref":0.055,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":4921,"state":[-3864.977123,5129.6173],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":104,"slug":"will-microstrategy-announce-holding-1m-btc-by-december-31-2026-bv81","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-1m-btc-by-december-31-2026-bv81","q":"Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1382,"ref":0.055},{"name":"No","p":0.8618,"ref":0.945}],"chance":0.1382,"change24":-0.0049,"change7d":null,"vol":9451,"trades":252,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026","ref":0.055,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":3278,"state":[2376.019666,8375.689719],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232045,"closes":1798779600,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12 AM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1822,"slug":"will-bitcoin-reach-87-000-on-october-7","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-bitcoin-reach-87-000-on-october-7","q":"Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 7?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.13,"ref":0.0055},{"name":"No","p":0.87,"ref":0.9945}],"chance":0.13,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":503,"trades":10,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-october-7-2026/will-bitcoin-reach-87k-on-october-7-2026","ref":0.0055,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1230,"state":[-2005.788297,332.15067],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791391011,"closes":1791432000,"closesText":"Oct 8, 12 AM ET · World Day 892","closesWorldDay":892,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1860,"slug":"will-bitcoin-reach-86-000-on-october-7","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/will-bitcoin-reach-86-000-on-october-7","q":"Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 7?","cat":"crypto","catName":"Crypto","emoji":"🪙","tags":["bitcoin","crypto-prices"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.109,"ref":0.0235},{"name":"No","p":0.891,"ref":0.9765}],"chance":0.109,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":292,"trades":4,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-october-7-2026","ref":0.0235,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1664,"state":[-3455.264383,40.887087],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791395451,"closes":1791432000,"closesText":"Oct 8, 12 AM ET · World Day 892","closesWorldDay":892,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}