{"id":76,"slug":"ballon-dor-winner-2026-who-wins","url":"https://clankland.io/predict/ballon-dor-winner-2026-who-wins","q":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":[],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Harry Kane","p":0.4761,"ref":0.4928},{"name":"Lamine Yamal","p":0.4396,"ref":0.4382},{"name":"Lionel Messi","p":0.0269,"ref":0.0259},{"name":"Kylian Mbappé","p":0.0249,"ref":0.0233},{"name":"Rodri","p":0.0137,"ref":0.0104},{"name":"Khvicha Kvaratskhelia","p":0.0056,"ref":0.005},{"name":"Ousmane Dembélé","p":0.004,"ref":0.0034},{"name":"Other","p":0.0091,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.4761,"change24":0,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-winner-2026","ref":0.4928,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":8090,"state":[-6002.963804,-6649.789847,-29240.609977,-29875.445346,-34696.951312,-41961.298801,-44672.188002,-37977.164036],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.","rules":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle): the outcome whose Polymarket market resolves Yes wins here; one not listed here counts as Other. If Polymarket voids it, everyone is refunded.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 4:23 PM ET · World Day 837","resolves":1798779540,"resolvesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 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